シマダ　エリコ   SHIMADA ERIKO   島田　衣里子    所属   医学部 医学科（東京女子医科大学病院）    職種   助教
論文種別	原著
言語種別	英語
査読の有無	査読なし
表題	Risk factors for Fontan-associated hepatocellular carcinoma.
掲載誌名	正式名：PloS one 略　 称：PLoS One ISSNコード：19326203/19326203
掲載区分	国外
巻・号・頁	17(6),pp.e0270230
著者・共著者	KOGISO Tomomi†, SAGAWA Takaomi, TANIAI Makiko, SHIMADA ERIKO, Inai Kei, SHINOHARA Tokuko, TOKUSHIGE Katsutoshi
発行年月	2022/01
概要	AIMS:The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with Fontan-associated liver disease (i.e., FALD-HCC) has increased over time. However, the risk factors for HCC development remain unclear. Here, we compared the levels of non-invasive markers to the survival rate of FALD-HCC patients.METHODS:From 2003 to 2021, 154 patients (66 men, 42.9%) developed liver disease after undergoing Fontan procedures. HCC was diagnosed in 15 (9.7%) (8 men, 53.3%) at a median age of 34 years (range, 21-45 years). We compared FALD-HCC and non-HCC cases; we generated marker level cutoffs using receiver operating characteristic curves. We sought to identify risk factors for HCC and mortality.RESULTS:The incidence of HCC was 4.9% in FALD patients within 20 years after the Fontan procedure. Compared with non-HCC patients, FALD-HCC patients exhibited higher incidences of polysplenia and esophageal varices. At the time of HCC development, the hyaluronic acid (HA) level (p = 0.04) and the fibrosis-4 index (p = 0.02) were significantly higher in FALD-HCC patients than in non-HCC patients; the total bilirubin (T-BIL) level (p = 0.07) and the model for end-stage liver disease score [excluding the international normalized ratio (MELD-XI)] (p = 0.06) tended to be higher in FALD-HCC patients. Within approximately 20 years of the Fontan procedure, 10 patients died (survival rate, 96.9%). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis indicated that patients with T-BIL levels ≥ 2.2 mg/dL, HA levels ≥ 55.5 ng/mL, and MELD-XI scores ≥ 18.7 were at high risk of HCC, a generally poor prognosis, and both polysplenia and esophageal varices. Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that the complication of polysplenia [Hazard ratio (HR): 10.915] and a higher MELD-XI score (HR: 1.148, both p < 0.01) were independent risk factors for FALD-HCC.CONCLUSIONS:The complication of polysplenia and a MELD-XI score may predict HCC development and mortality in FALD patients.
DOI	10.1371/journal.pone.0270230
PMID	35714161